Good Morning Johnno;
Yes, that balance staff would be causing a problem, however, the bent pivot could have damaged the jewel as well and you would need to check that out also.
I’ve tried twice to straighten a balance staff pivot. the first one broke right off, the second one was nearly straight but not perfect. the watch ran poor and I ended up replacing the balance staff later.
There are several people out there on the web that sells parts for the vintage pocket watch.
i’m a noobie at this hobby and have and still use Bob’s course (for years ) to fix my pocket watches as well as vintage clocks.
I hope that I was able to help
Jerry